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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+0.36vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89-0.26vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54-0.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76-2.04vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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4.52Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.36University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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3.74Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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4.33Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.96Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 39.2% | 25.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 14.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 15.7% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Tony Collins | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 11.9% |
| Marly Isler | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 7.9% |
| John Reddaway | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.