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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.28vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+0.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89-1.68vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76-0.95vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38-1.41vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.76Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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2.32College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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4.05Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.59Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.77Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 19.1% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 10.3% |
| Tony Collins | 13.2% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 6.3% |
| Charles Rees | 38.6% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 9.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 8.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 16.6% |
| John Reddaway | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.