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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.94+5.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+0.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+2.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+2.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+1.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-1.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.65+0.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48-2.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-3.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.71-3.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.92vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.18-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Boston College2.5613.4%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.947.6%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.4%1st Place
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4.56Yale University2.4215.4%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.299.5%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University1.255.3%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.253.6%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University2.087.1%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College0.652.4%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.4%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont1.313.8%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island0.712.9%1st Place
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12.08Boston University0.371.4%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University0.181.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Dana Haig | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 22.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.