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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.25+7.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.94+4.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.31+4.53vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+3.01vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+1.69vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.71+0.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.65+0.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-6.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-5.98vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-1.81vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-6.22vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Roger Williams University1.255.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College1.948.8%1st Place
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5.62Boston College2.5611.4%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.086.2%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont1.313.6%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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4.56Yale University2.4216.3%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.254.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University2.297.4%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island0.713.1%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College0.652.2%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.7%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.138.6%1st Place
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12.19Salve Regina University0.181.7%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College1.484.3%1st Place
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12.06Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Grace Gear | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 24.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.