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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+2.57vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+0.75vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89-1.71vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.96vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-1.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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4.57Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.75Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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5.96Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.83Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 19.3% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 24.0% | 14.9% |
| Tony Collins | 13.8% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Charles Rees | 36.9% | 26.0% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 56.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 12.9% |
| Marly Isler | 11.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.