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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+6.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42-0.64vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.94+0.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+0.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48-0.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.25-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.71-0.40vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31-2.45vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.18-0.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.25-4.15vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.18vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Harvard University2.086.2%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.299.0%1st Place
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5.73Boston College2.5610.3%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.9%1st Place
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4.36Yale University2.4217.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College1.947.3%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.137.5%1st Place
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9.09Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College1.484.8%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University1.254.9%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island0.712.4%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont1.313.7%1st Place
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12.33Salve Regina University0.181.5%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.254.1%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College0.653.0%1st Place
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11.87Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Dana Haig | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 27.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.