Race 1A

icebreaker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emmett Weeks 4.4% 3.6% 5.6% 5.3% 6.8% 7.4% 8.6% 9.4% 10.9% 10.6% 10.4% 9.4% 5.4% 2.2%
Sky Adams 9.7% 8.9% 9.5% 9.4% 11.4% 9.8% 12.6% 7.9% 8.5% 5.8% 3.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Liz Dubovik 8.3% 9.4% 8.3% 10.8% 8.2% 10.9% 7.9% 10.9% 9.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3%
John Cappetta 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.0% 8.4% 9.5% 11.2% 11.6% 12.6% 11.1% 3.4%
Eric Anderson 4.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 11.2% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 4.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Genevieve Marquardt 1.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 7.5% 8.8% 10.7% 12.0% 17.1% 14.6% 7.5%
Scott Barbano 18.1% 16.8% 14.1% 13.2% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 6.3% 5.0% 6.8% 7.3% 7.9% 7.0% 9.3% 10.5% 9.4% 9.5% 8.4% 8.2% 3.0% 1.4%
Rachel Bryer 22.8% 20.6% 15.1% 14.1% 10.3% 6.8% 4.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.6% 12.8% 15.1% 12.7% 10.8% 10.4% 9.3% 7.2% 4.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.6% 10.1% 9.7% 9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 6.7% 3.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Robert Queisser 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 5.5% 7.4% 8.9% 13.2% 16.2% 20.6% 10.5%
Jennifer Lee 2.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 3.6% 6.8% 8.3% 12.7% 14.8% 22.5% 12.7%
Parker Peltzer 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 8.2% 14.8% 60.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.