← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.38+6.73vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.78+4.22vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.50+4.24vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.54+2.85vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.33+2.66vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.05vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.81+2.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California2.57+2.56vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.82vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.52-2.76vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.90-1.54vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.65-5.16vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin1.94-0.26vs Predicted
-
14University of Texas0.71+1.91vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.92-5.83vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.32-1.25vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-4.81vs Predicted
-
18University of Washington1.69-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.73Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.22College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
-
7.24Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
6.85Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
-
7.66Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
6.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.67Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.56University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
-
7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.24Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
-
9.46Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
6.84Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.74University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
-
15.91University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
-
9.17Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
14.75University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
12.19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
-
13.54University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Margaret Tautz | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Cummins | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 8.3% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 47.2% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 23.0% | 24.1% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.