← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Courtland Doyle 14.9% 13.4% 12.3% 12.5% 9.0% 9.6% 7.8% 7.8% 5.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 13.7% 12.7% 12.1% 10.5% 10.1% 9.8% 8.8% 7.4% 6.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Henry Scholz 12.9% 12.3% 11.3% 9.8% 10.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.1% 6.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Tomas Riccio 11.2% 11.4% 10.7% 10.2% 10.9% 9.0% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 5.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 11.2% 10.4% 10.6% 12.3% 11.6% 10.8% 7.2% 6.4% 7.4% 5.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.1%
James Frady 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 5.6% 6.2% 7.0% 9.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9%
Marc Leyk 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.6% 6.7% 6.8% 5.8% 8.2% 10.2% 11.5% 14.8% 15.2% 3.0%
Carter Weatherilt 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.3% 8.5% 9.6% 10.7% 11.1% 9.0% 7.5% 0.9%
Jakub Fuja 6.3% 6.7% 9.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.3% 10.2% 9.8% 9.3% 10.5% 7.6% 4.8% 0.7%
Cameron Silvers 5.9% 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8% 10.1% 11.2% 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 5.6% 0.8%
Emil Tullberg 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.6% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 9.4% 8.8% 6.9% 3.9% 0.5%
Luke Barker 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 6.9% 6.7% 9.0% 11.8% 17.2% 18.8% 4.2%
Brooklyn Geary 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 4.0% 7.7% 80.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.