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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.20+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.06+2.97vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.89+2.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+1.38vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.61+3.55vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.08+1.18vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37-1.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.94-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.53-3.23vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-4.69vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.13-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Tufts University1.2014.9%1st Place
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4.97University of Vermont1.0613.7%1st Place
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5.16Connecticut College0.8912.9%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.2%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University1.0711.2%1st Place
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9.55University of New Hampshire-0.612.0%1st Place
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8.18Webb Institute-0.083.6%1st Place
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7.0Florida State University0.376.2%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University0.946.3%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island0.535.9%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University0.468.2%1st Place
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8.63SUNY Maritime College-0.133.5%1st Place
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12.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Courtland Doyle | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Ethan Burt | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Henry Scholz | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Tomas Riccio | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
Joshua Dillon | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
James Frady | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 28.9% | 8.9% |
Marc Leyk | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% |
Carter Weatherilt | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
Jakub Fuja | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
Cameron Silvers | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
Luke Barker | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 4.2% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.