← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.07+5.65vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.28vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.92+2.83vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.90+1.82vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.58+2.18vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.87+0.60vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.62+3.56vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.25vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.83+0.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island-0.02+2.80vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.14-2.03vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.48-0.84vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University0.83-3.07vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.67vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.83-5.35vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.15-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.65Bowdoin College2.077.6%1st Place
-
4.28Yale University2.5518.1%1st Place
-
5.83Brown University1.9211.6%1st Place
-
5.82Harvard University1.9010.4%1st Place
-
7.18Boston College1.586.9%1st Place
-
6.6Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
-
10.56Roger Williams University0.623.1%1st Place
-
6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.8%1st Place
-
9.49Connecticut College0.833.9%1st Place
-
12.8University of Rhode Island-0.021.6%1st Place
-
8.97Boston University1.144.4%1st Place
-
11.16University of Vermont0.481.2%1st Place
-
9.93Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
-
9.65Salve Regina University0.833.4%1st Place
-
12.01Northeastern University0.151.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 32.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.