Race 2A

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Scott Barbano 16.3% 16.8% 17.3% 12.0% 9.7% 7.9% 7.8% 4.5% 3.5% 2.8% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 5.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.9% 8.4% 7.7% 10.2% 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Rachel Bryer 25.1% 19.8% 15.1% 12.6% 11.0% 7.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sky Adams 7.2% 9.9% 9.4% 10.6% 10.5% 10.5% 9.7% 9.6% 7.4% 7.7% 4.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 4.4% 4.7% 7.5% 7.6% 10.3% 14.5% 24.4% 13.6%
Margaret Bacon 5.1% 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 7.0% 10.7% 10.1% 9.6% 8.9% 10.8% 9.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.2%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.8% 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 4.4% 6.5% 5.7% 6.9% 9.8% 14.3% 15.2% 14.2% 5.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.6% 14.4% 12.8% 11.8% 12.2% 9.3% 7.4% 6.6% 5.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 7.2% 5.6% 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 12.5% 9.0% 6.7% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.1%
John Cappetta 2.8% 2.3% 3.6% 4.6% 3.9% 6.4% 7.4% 8.1% 10.7% 10.5% 12.6% 12.7% 9.9% 4.5%
Liz Dubovik 7.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.7% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 10.4% 6.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Robert Queisser 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.4% 6.0% 6.6% 9.8% 13.1% 15.6% 20.3% 10.9%
Emmett Weeks 3.6% 5.3% 5.0% 4.9% 5.9% 8.0% 8.7% 9.7% 10.3% 11.9% 8.7% 9.8% 6.5% 1.7%
Parker Peltzer 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 4.4% 8.5% 14.4% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.