Race 3A

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.6% 12.7% 13.8% 13.6% 11.3% 9.4% 7.8% 6.3% 4.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 7.1% 8.4% 9.3% 8.6% 8.7% 8.6% 10.8% 9.7% 10.0% 7.0% 6.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Sky Adams 8.8% 10.5% 8.6% 9.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 8.5% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 16.4% 15.1% 14.9% 14.2% 9.1% 10.2% 7.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 3.7% 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 8.2% 8.2% 9.2% 11.1% 8.9% 9.4% 9.7% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3%
Rachel Bryer 23.0% 18.9% 17.4% 11.9% 11.0% 6.0% 4.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 6.0% 8.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.1% 10.6% 8.9% 10.4% 9.0% 9.5% 7.2% 5.1% 1.7% 1.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.6% 3.6% 5.4% 8.7% 10.5% 14.8% 22.5% 14.8%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.2% 5.5% 4.4% 6.5% 9.0% 10.7% 14.1% 14.8% 15.4% 6.3%
Emmett Weeks 4.0% 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 7.1% 6.9% 9.3% 8.4% 10.2% 11.3% 13.1% 9.1% 5.7% 1.6%
Liz Dubovik 8.0% 6.9% 8.0% 10.7% 10.8% 9.6% 11.0% 9.9% 7.9% 7.0% 4.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.0%
John Cappetta 2.7% 3.4% 3.1% 4.9% 4.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 12.0% 11.0% 11.6% 10.4% 11.7% 3.5%
Robert Queisser 2.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.1% 3.3% 5.4% 7.5% 9.7% 11.0% 16.4% 21.0% 10.1%
Parker Peltzer 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 4.1% 9.1% 14.0% 61.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.