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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.92+3.86vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.83+6.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.93vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+0.51vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.05vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.15+1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.02+0.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-3.36vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.58-6.82vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.62-4.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.83-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Yale University2.5517.4%1st Place
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5.86Brown University1.9211.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College0.833.4%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.0%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University1.9010.2%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College1.878.9%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.078.2%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University0.152.4%1st Place
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12.74University of Rhode Island-0.021.1%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University0.833.8%1st Place
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7.18Boston College1.587.1%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University0.832.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 32.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.