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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.84vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+3.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island-0.02+6.88vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-2.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.58-1.96vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+0.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-2.33vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.87-6.59vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.62-3.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.15-2.98vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.83-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University1.9010.7%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.078.7%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.5%1st Place
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9.06Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Rhode Island-0.021.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.8%1st Place
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5.93Brown University1.9210.2%1st Place
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7.04Boston College1.587.8%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University0.833.8%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College0.833.6%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University0.151.7%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 32.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 22.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.