Race 4A

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sky Adams 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 8.4% 11.3% 9.1% 9.6% 8.0% 6.1% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7%
Scott Barbano 17.9% 15.8% 16.2% 11.9% 12.0% 8.4% 6.9% 4.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 7.2% 10.0% 10.3% 9.4% 11.4% 7.3% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Rachel Bryer 22.8% 21.2% 14.6% 14.5% 9.8% 6.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Liz Dubovik 5.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.6% 11.0% 10.1% 10.1% 9.8% 8.1% 8.4% 5.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Margaret Bacon 4.5% 5.9% 5.0% 6.3% 9.1% 8.5% 9.4% 10.1% 8.4% 11.7% 8.1% 7.6% 4.4% 1.0%
John Cappetta 3.3% 3.6% 5.1% 4.2% 6.5% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 9.5% 10.2% 12.7% 11.8% 9.5% 2.9%
Emmett Weeks 4.8% 4.2% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 7.5% 8.2% 6.9% 11.4% 10.7% 9.4% 10.3% 7.6% 1.9%
Eric Anderson 6.5% 5.2% 6.8% 7.0% 8.3% 9.5% 10.0% 10.5% 10.6% 10.4% 6.4% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.6% 12.7% 13.6% 12.1% 11.0% 11.0% 9.6% 7.3% 4.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 5.6% 6.9% 6.7% 11.7% 17.0% 22.0% 13.7%
Robert Queisser 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 10.1% 13.9% 15.3% 20.3% 11.1%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.9% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 4.2% 4.5% 7.9% 9.5% 9.4% 13.9% 15.2% 14.6% 5.9%
Parker Peltzer 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.9% 7.8% 13.7% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.