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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+6.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+2.90vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+2.62vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+5.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+2.68vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.15+3.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.61vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-0.51vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.87-5.52vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-3.33vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-5.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.83-5.13vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.02-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Boston College1.586.7%1st Place
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4.36Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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5.9Brown University1.929.2%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College2.078.8%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University1.9011.7%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University0.833.9%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.1%1st Place
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12.08Northeastern University0.151.6%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.4%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College0.833.4%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University0.832.8%1st Place
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12.76University of Rhode Island-0.021.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 22.5% |
| Emma Snead | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.