Race 5A

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eric Anderson 6.2% 6.1% 7.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.8% 10.9% 9.8% 9.2% 8.8% 8.3% 5.3% 2.8% 0.8%
Johanna Kincaid 11.2% 11.2% 10.6% 12.3% 10.1% 10.6% 10.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Liz Dubovik 8.2% 9.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 11.6% 10.2% 9.2% 7.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Ellis Tonissi 5.1% 8.3% 7.0% 8.7% 9.8% 9.1% 9.9% 9.1% 10.0% 9.5% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Scott Barbano 14.8% 16.2% 14.3% 12.8% 10.6% 10.2% 7.8% 5.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.0% 12.3% 12.8% 13.3% 10.9% 10.2% 8.3% 8.0% 5.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 6.1% 5.9% 7.5% 5.7% 8.9% 7.5% 8.5% 11.0% 8.7% 11.6% 9.1% 5.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Robert Queisser 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.3% 3.7% 5.7% 4.9% 8.7% 12.5% 16.9% 19.2% 11.8%
Rachel Bryer 22.9% 17.6% 18.0% 12.5% 11.1% 7.3% 4.5% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Lee 2.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 3.4% 5.6% 6.2% 8.5% 10.7% 17.5% 23.1% 13.6%
Emmett Weeks 3.7% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.3% 12.4% 10.4% 9.6% 11.2% 7.2% 1.7%
John Cappetta 3.0% 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.6% 6.8% 7.5% 7.9% 9.8% 12.2% 12.2% 10.9% 11.2% 4.1%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 3.5% 4.9% 4.2% 4.4% 7.1% 9.5% 8.9% 13.6% 15.4% 16.0% 5.3%
Parker Peltzer 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 2.4% 3.6% 5.3% 8.0% 13.5% 61.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.