Race 6A

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.0% 15.2% 14.0% 11.7% 11.9% 9.6% 7.8% 5.1% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Johanna Kincaid 10.7% 11.4% 11.0% 11.7% 11.0% 11.2% 10.2% 8.2% 6.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3%
Rachel Bryer 26.0% 17.9% 15.2% 12.8% 10.3% 7.3% 5.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 4.9% 8.1% 8.1% 9.0% 7.6% 11.0% 10.2% 9.8% 10.9% 8.0% 5.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Liz Dubovik 6.7% 7.9% 8.0% 9.5% 11.1% 10.2% 9.3% 10.1% 9.1% 8.8% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Robert Queisser 1.3% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.9% 6.6% 9.0% 13.1% 15.6% 21.0% 12.0%
Margaret Bacon 5.5% 6.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 9.5% 10.3% 9.7% 8.7% 8.9% 6.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Scott Barbano 16.4% 15.8% 13.7% 13.4% 11.9% 8.7% 6.0% 5.4% 4.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 6.1% 4.6% 7.5% 7.4% 6.5% 8.2% 11.3% 11.2% 11.8% 9.4% 8.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8%
Emmett Weeks 3.3% 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 7.3% 7.3% 8.6% 9.3% 8.7% 11.3% 12.3% 10.3% 6.0% 2.2%
Jennifer Lee 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 1.1% 1.9% 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 6.5% 8.0% 11.5% 16.3% 24.7% 12.4%
John Cappetta 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 9.1% 9.5% 13.1% 12.3% 11.6% 9.5% 3.8%
Parker Peltzer 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 4.5% 7.5% 14.1% 62.2%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.3% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 10.6% 12.8% 17.1% 14.9% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.