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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+8.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+1.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.58+2.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+0.36vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.34+4.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.06vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+0.77vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.87-4.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.83vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-0.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-5.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.15-2.94vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University1.9010.1%1st Place
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4.17Yale University2.5518.6%1st Place
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5.71Brown University1.9212.4%1st Place
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7.11Boston College1.586.8%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College2.079.1%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College0.341.5%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.7%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College1.878.8%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.9%1st Place
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12.19University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University0.151.1%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.6% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 20.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 21.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.