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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.62+9.49vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.83+7.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.44+5.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.60+3.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.12+5.98vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90-1.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.15+4.07vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.11vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-5.92vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-3.93vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-5.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.69vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.07-7.54vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-5.99vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.49Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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9.59Salve Regina University0.833.7%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.606.6%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.9210.5%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island0.121.5%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University1.9011.2%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University0.151.8%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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4.08Yale University2.5519.7%1st Place
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7.07Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.2%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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6.46Bowdoin College2.079.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 23.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.7% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.