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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.44+7.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.92+3.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+4.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+1.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+4.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.02vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.15+3.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-4.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.14vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83-2.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-6.27vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.60-6.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.02-2.26vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
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5.61Brown University1.9211.8%1st Place
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7.04Boston College1.587.9%1st Place
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4.15Yale University2.5518.8%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College2.078.2%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University0.622.9%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont0.481.7%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University0.151.9%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University1.9010.8%1st Place
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8.86Boston University1.145.0%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University0.832.9%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.7%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College1.606.6%1st Place
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12.74University of Rhode Island-0.021.6%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.8% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 29.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.