Race 3B

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Giordano 16.1% 16.5% 12.1% 13.6% 11.6% 9.5% 7.6% 3.8% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 7.2% 9.3% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 10.3% 10.9% 10.9% 9.1% 6.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Kate Levinson 12.7% 11.2% 11.9% 11.6% 10.0% 10.9% 9.6% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 19.4% 18.6% 16.2% 11.0% 10.5% 9.0% 6.1% 4.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Gates 7.0% 8.3% 10.1% 12.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.6% 10.3% 8.8% 6.6% 3.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Timothy Harding 14.7% 13.8% 13.2% 12.7% 12.5% 9.1% 8.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Morley 2.7% 1.8% 3.7% 3.0% 4.7% 5.1% 5.3% 7.2% 7.9% 11.2% 13.3% 15.6% 13.3% 5.2%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 8.2% 10.1% 12.6% 15.1% 13.5% 5.8%
Rebecca Quirke 6.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.1% 9.3% 9.6% 11.9% 10.4% 9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Matthew Miranda 3.8% 3.2% 2.9% 5.8% 5.5% 7.1% 7.0% 9.7% 9.9% 13.6% 13.1% 10.2% 6.1% 2.1%
Shane Baker 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 5.0% 7.5% 8.2% 13.1% 26.1% 27.4%
Mark Sinks 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 4.0% 5.5% 10.3% 19.4% 51.1%
Henry Lewis 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.4% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 11.1% 15.5% 15.9% 13.0% 6.4%
George Luber 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 5.3% 6.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.8% 11.6% 11.8% 11.7% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.