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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+7.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.67vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.86vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92-0.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07-0.51vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+2.35vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.58-1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.72vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.15-0.88vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-4.20vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.83-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.02-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.7%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College1.878.3%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University1.909.6%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.9%1st Place
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4.36Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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5.88Brown University1.9210.4%1st Place
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6.49Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston University1.144.4%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University0.151.4%1st Place
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9.8Salve Regina University0.832.9%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College0.833.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Rhode Island-0.021.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 23.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.