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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+5.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.02+8.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.80vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+3.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-1.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87-1.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.44+0.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-3.35vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-2.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.81vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.75-3.48vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.83-5.25vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.15-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
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7.27Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.3%1st Place
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12.76University of Rhode Island-0.021.6%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University1.9010.8%1st Place
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9.7Salve Regina University0.833.6%1st Place
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5.8Brown University1.9211.3%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College1.878.8%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College2.078.3%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.4%1st Place
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9.08Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University0.752.5%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College0.833.5%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University0.151.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 33.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.