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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.87+4.42vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.18+3.28vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+2.48vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42+3.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79+6.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.80+0.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80-0.14vs Predicted
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81.06-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.55vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.45-2.33vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.72-4.06vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-3.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-2.34vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.01-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42University of Vermont0.8711.2%1st Place
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5.28Bowdoin College1.1812.5%1st Place
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5.48Northeastern University1.2212.3%1st Place
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7.43Fairfield University0.425.7%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University-0.791.2%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University0.808.6%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University0.806.9%1st Place
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5.811.0611.2%1st Place
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10.55University of New Hampshire-0.382.1%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University0.455.4%1st Place
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6.94Bates College0.727.4%1st Place
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8.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.025.0%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.8%1st Place
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6.26Brown University1.018.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 36.6% |
| Grant Schmidt | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Max Teo | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lund | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 21.2% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| William Delong | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 23.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.