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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+9.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.27vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+3.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.54+2.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.99vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.22vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+2.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+1.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-2.56vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+2.24vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-3.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.38-4.19vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.33-5.48vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.81-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.71+1.05vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.94-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.32-2.25vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.77University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.38Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.23Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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12.24Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.52Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.43Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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14.75University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 48.4% |
| Mary Cummins | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 7.4% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 23.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.