Race 6B

icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Timothy Harding 15.6% 15.7% 13.2% 12.4% 12.5% 9.5% 7.0% 6.1% 2.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 21.1% 18.1% 16.9% 12.6% 10.8% 7.6% 5.6% 3.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Gates 9.0% 9.2% 10.3% 9.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.0% 8.7% 9.7% 6.6% 3.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Samuel Morley 1.6% 1.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 4.8% 6.3% 7.4% 9.0% 10.1% 12.1% 16.1% 14.3% 6.6%
Peter Bailey 5.9% 8.0% 7.0% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.1% 12.4% 9.0% 8.4% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Kate Levinson 9.8% 12.2% 11.2% 11.9% 11.7% 10.1% 10.4% 8.0% 6.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Giordano 16.9% 15.5% 14.1% 14.0% 9.7% 10.3% 7.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rebecca Quirke 6.7% 7.1% 8.9% 7.6% 8.2% 10.4% 10.7% 10.5% 8.7% 8.1% 7.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 3.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.7% 5.5% 7.1% 10.0% 13.1% 13.4% 14.1% 11.6% 6.6%
George Luber 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.8% 9.5% 9.6% 11.0% 11.6% 10.7% 9.5% 6.1% 1.9%
Matthew Miranda 3.6% 2.8% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 6.3% 8.0% 9.8% 11.1% 11.2% 11.6% 10.3% 6.9% 2.1%
Shane Baker 0.4% 1.3% 0.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 6.3% 10.3% 13.1% 25.3% 26.8%
Mark Sinks 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.0% 2.1% 3.3% 3.9% 5.9% 10.3% 17.8% 50.1%
Henry Lewis 1.7% 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 4.6% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 8.7% 10.3% 14.9% 15.4% 13.6% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.