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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+4.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.02+7.80vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92-0.14vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+2.57vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-1.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.50vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-5.21vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-2.78vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.83-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.78vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.15-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Yale University2.5517.9%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University1.9011.9%1st Place
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7.36Boston College1.586.2%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College1.877.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Rhode Island-0.020.9%1st Place
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5.86Brown University1.9212.2%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University0.833.6%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.078.7%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.7%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.443.0%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.7%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University0.753.5%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College0.833.3%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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12.14Northeastern University0.151.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 33.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.