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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+2.06vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58-0.90vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.15+3.24vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83-0.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.75-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-3.24vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.07-7.47vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.02-2.15vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.83-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Brown University1.9211.5%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University1.9010.2%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.689.4%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.2%1st Place
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9.06Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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7.1Boston College1.587.2%1st Place
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12.24Northeastern University0.151.8%1st Place
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9.5Salve Regina University0.833.6%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont0.481.7%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College0.833.1%1st Place
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6.53Bowdoin College2.078.6%1st Place
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12.85University of Rhode Island-0.020.9%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 23.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 13.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 33.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.