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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.58+2.04vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.02+5.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.83+1.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.92-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+0.87vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-5.26vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-2.88vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-4.46vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.15-2.83vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Yale University2.5519.7%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College1.879.5%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University1.9010.9%1st Place
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7.04Boston College1.586.7%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College2.078.3%1st Place
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12.71University of Rhode Island-0.021.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University0.833.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University1.9211.3%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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8.76Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.1%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University0.753.4%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University0.151.2%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 19.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 30.3% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 21.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.