← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.14vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.10+3.72vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii3.04+6.39vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.97+5.59vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.54vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.72vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+6.60vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.90+1.93vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.97+0.74vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.99-0.38vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.38-3.00vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College3.14-2.76vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.27-4.83vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.71-7.66vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.67-3.94vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.74-5.39vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.85-6.65vs Predicted
-
19University of Minnesota2.01-4.16vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin3.04-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
5.72Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.39University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
-
10.59Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
11.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
14.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.93University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.74Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
-
10.62University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.0Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.24Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
-
9.17Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.34College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
12.06George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
11.61Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
11.35Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
14.84University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 21.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 24.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.