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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.83+6.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.75+6.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.53vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+5.26vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-2.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07-1.28vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90-2.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.83-1.15vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.82vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-5.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.02-2.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.15-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Brown University1.9211.9%1st Place
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8.82Salve Regina University0.833.8%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont0.483.1%1st Place
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3.89Yale University2.5520.1%1st Place
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5.72Bowdoin College2.0710.7%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University1.9012.8%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.9%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University0.834.9%1st Place
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8.18Boston University1.145.3%1st Place
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6.43Boston College1.588.2%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College0.834.3%1st Place
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11.82University of Rhode Island-0.021.1%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University0.151.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.1% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 31.4% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.