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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+6.58vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+4.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+4.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+2.05vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04+1.30vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-0.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-3.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.38vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.90-1.60vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-3.70vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-3.22vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-1.11vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.32vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-5.82vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.97-8.32vs Predicted
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20Cornell University2.85-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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10.47Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.88Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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7.39College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.78Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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12.18George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.38Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 25.7% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 21.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.