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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+8.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+4.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.74vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+6.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+4.70vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+4.36vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+2.10vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.31vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+0.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-2.15vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-1.89vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.23vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-1.95vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii3.04-5.67vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.74-5.39vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-2.97vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.31vs Predicted
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20Boston College2.97-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.39College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.17Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.36University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.85Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.11Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.05George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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11.61Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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10.84Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Mary Hall | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 25.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 23.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.