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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+4.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+6.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+2.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+5.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58-0.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.02+2.86vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.75-0.73vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.83-2.42vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83-3.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.83-4.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.15-2.93vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.55-11.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Bowdoin College2.079.4%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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5.31Brown University1.9212.3%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.3%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.7%1st Place
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6.54Boston College1.588.0%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University1.9012.2%1st Place
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11.86University of Rhode Island-0.021.7%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University0.753.7%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College0.834.5%1st Place
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8.82Salve Regina University0.834.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University0.834.5%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University0.152.0%1st Place
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3.86Yale University2.5519.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| Emma Snead | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 34.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 22.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.4% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.