Race 1A

boston-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Moffitt 15.2% 14.1% 13.9% 13.8% 13.5% 11.9% 9.6% 6.0% 2.1%
Charles Bresnahan 4.5% 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 10.9% 16.0% 20.4% 19.6%
Matthew Elliott 17.0% 17.6% 16.1% 12.9% 13.7% 10.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.4%
George Higham 16.1% 16.2% 16.6% 14.5% 12.1% 9.9% 8.5% 4.8% 1.5%
Chase Reynolds 12.7% 11.7% 13.0% 13.5% 13.3% 13.5% 9.8% 9.0% 3.5%
Fritz Baldauf 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 10.0% 10.2% 13.9% 15.4% 16.8% 12.3%
Miles Williams 19.7% 17.2% 15.3% 14.7% 12.9% 9.4% 6.6% 3.2% 0.9%
William Wiegand 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 9.8% 10.2% 12.8% 15.6% 18.2% 15.3%
Cameron Frary 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 7.0% 11.6% 17.9% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.