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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Chase Reynolds 11.8% 11.1% 12.8% 13.6% 13.3% 12.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.0%
Christian Moffitt 14.9% 14.9% 14.1% 12.4% 13.6% 12.1% 9.3% 6.4% 2.2%
George Higham 16.5% 15.3% 15.8% 14.6% 12.8% 11.1% 8.2% 4.2% 1.3%
Matthew Elliott 16.9% 16.8% 15.4% 13.5% 12.8% 10.9% 7.8% 4.8% 1.2%
Miles Williams 18.6% 18.1% 15.8% 14.8% 11.8% 9.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9%
William Wiegand 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 10.0% 13.1% 13.9% 18.9% 14.2%
Charles Bresnahan 4.4% 5.5% 5.9% 8.1% 10.4% 9.8% 16.0% 21.1% 18.8%
Cameron Frary 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 7.0% 9.6% 17.0% 46.2%
Fritz Baldauf 7.1% 7.3% 8.5% 10.0% 10.4% 13.9% 15.4% 16.1% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.