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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+10.39vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+8.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+8.10vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+7.74vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+3.77vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.19vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.15vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-0.90vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27+0.10vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01+3.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-1.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-1.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.84vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-4.60vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-4.74vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.14-7.28vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-7.51vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.67-7.04vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.65Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.74Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.77Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.05Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.26Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.72Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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11.96George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 27.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.