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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.23+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.54+2.14vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.58+0.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.48-0.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.27-0.74vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.40-0.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.60-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Roger Williams University1.2311.8%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island1.5414.9%1st Place
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3.87Roger Williams University1.5816.5%1st Place
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3.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5516.9%1st Place
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3.62University of Rhode Island1.6118.6%1st Place
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5.82Boston University0.486.9%1st Place
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6.26Connecticut College0.274.4%1st Place
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7.26Bates College-0.402.8%1st Place
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5.6Connecticut College0.607.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase Reynolds | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
Christian Moffitt | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
George Higham | 16.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
Matthew Elliott | 16.9% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
Miles Williams | 18.6% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
William Wiegand | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
Charles Bresnahan | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 18.8% |
Cameron Frary | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 46.2% |
Fritz Baldauf | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.