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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
George Higham 15.3% 15.3% 15.4% 15.7% 12.3% 11.2% 7.8% 5.5% 1.5%
Chase Reynolds 12.2% 11.5% 12.8% 13.5% 12.8% 13.8% 12.3% 7.5% 3.5%
Matthew Elliott 16.1% 17.3% 16.6% 13.8% 12.5% 10.2% 7.8% 5.0% 0.9%
Charles Bresnahan 4.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.4% 9.7% 12.2% 14.6% 21.3% 18.1%
Miles Williams 20.3% 17.3% 15.2% 14.1% 12.8% 9.2% 7.0% 3.2% 0.9%
Christian Moffitt 16.1% 14.7% 12.8% 13.8% 14.1% 10.8% 9.6% 6.1% 2.2%
Fritz Baldauf 7.0% 7.2% 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 12.9% 16.4% 15.0% 11.7%
William Wiegand 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 8.8% 10.0% 13.3% 14.2% 18.1% 16.0%
Cameron Frary 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 5.0% 6.7% 10.4% 18.2% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.