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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.58+2.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+2.53vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.81vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.27+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.54-1.90vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60-1.40vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-2.06vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.40-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Roger Williams University1.5815.3%1st Place
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4.53Roger Williams University1.2312.2%1st Place
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3.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5516.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College0.274.7%1st Place
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3.58University of Rhode Island1.6120.3%1st Place
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4.1University of Rhode Island1.5416.1%1st Place
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5.6Connecticut College0.607.0%1st Place
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5.94Boston University0.485.5%1st Place
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7.29Bates College-0.402.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
George Higham | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
Chase Reynolds | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
Matthew Elliott | 16.1% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
Charles Bresnahan | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 18.1% |
Miles Williams | 20.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Christian Moffitt | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
Fritz Baldauf | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
William Wiegand | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 16.0% |
Cameron Frary | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.