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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+9.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+9.79vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+4.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+6.67vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+4.83vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+3.28vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67+5.42vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.43vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.78vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.04-0.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.63vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-3.87vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-3.06vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.01-0.15vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.31vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-7.62vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.99-8.51vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.65Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.79Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.28Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Mary Hall | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 27.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 21.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.