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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.23+3.69vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+1.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.58+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.54+0.17vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.27+1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61-2.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.48-1.24vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.60-2.37vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.40-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Roger Williams University1.2311.1%1st Place
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3.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5517.5%1st Place
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3.77Roger Williams University1.5816.6%1st Place
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4.17University of Rhode Island1.5413.4%1st Place
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6.34Connecticut College0.275.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island1.6120.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston University0.486.9%1st Place
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5.63Connecticut College0.606.5%1st Place
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7.3Bates College-0.402.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| George Higham | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 19.9% |
| Miles Williams | 20.0% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| William Wiegand | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 13.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.7% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.