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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+5.72vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+4.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+4.44vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+5.50vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81+3.80vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.38+0.54vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50-1.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.54-2.82vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.92-1.65vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.94-0.31vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.33-6.50vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-3.04vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-1.23vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.71-0.92vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.2College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.35Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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11.96Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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16.08University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Tautz | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Cummins | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 24.2% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 49.9% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.