Race 5A

boston-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
George Higham 16.1% 16.5% 15.6% 14.6% 12.5% 10.8% 8.1% 4.2% 1.7%
Chase Reynolds 11.9% 11.2% 11.8% 13.9% 14.3% 12.6% 12.4% 7.8% 4.0%
Christian Moffitt 15.0% 14.4% 13.5% 13.9% 13.2% 12.7% 9.6% 5.6% 2.1%
Matthew Elliott 18.9% 16.0% 15.5% 14.2% 12.5% 10.2% 7.4% 4.0% 1.3%
Fritz Baldauf 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 11.3% 12.1% 16.0% 18.1% 13.1%
Miles Williams 18.0% 18.1% 17.6% 15.0% 11.6% 9.1% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1%
Cameron Frary 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.5% 8.1% 10.1% 18.2% 43.5%
Charles Bresnahan 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 8.0% 8.4% 11.1% 15.3% 21.8% 18.6%
William Wiegand 6.4% 7.3% 7.3% 8.4% 10.5% 13.3% 14.7% 17.2% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.