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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Elliott 16.1% 17.3% 14.3% 14.2% 14.8% 11.2% 6.4% 4.2% 1.4%
Chase Reynolds 11.2% 12.8% 12.3% 13.0% 12.7% 14.1% 12.6% 7.8% 3.6%
Fritz Baldauf 6.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.8% 10.8% 12.6% 16.6% 16.2% 12.6%
George Higham 15.0% 16.0% 15.4% 15.2% 13.6% 11.8% 7.1% 4.8% 1.1%
William Wiegand 7.3% 7.1% 9.4% 9.0% 7.8% 11.7% 15.7% 17.9% 14.1%
Cameron Frary 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 4.3% 5.1% 6.8% 10.7% 19.9% 44.0%
Christian Moffitt 15.0% 12.8% 13.7% 14.3% 13.9% 12.2% 9.9% 5.5% 2.6%
Charles Bresnahan 5.4% 5.5% 6.7% 6.7% 8.9% 11.7% 15.0% 20.5% 19.6%
Miles Williams 20.8% 18.1% 15.8% 14.4% 12.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.