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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+2.83vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+2.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.60+2.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.58-0.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48+0.75vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.40+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.54-2.81vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.27-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5516.1%1st Place
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4.57Roger Williams University1.2311.2%1st Place
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5.71Connecticut College0.606.3%1st Place
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3.91Roger Williams University1.5815.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston University0.487.3%1st Place
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7.31Bates College-0.402.8%1st Place
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4.19University of Rhode Island1.5415.0%1st Place
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6.24Connecticut College0.275.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island1.6120.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Elliott | 16.1% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
Chase Reynolds | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
Fritz Baldauf | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.6% |
George Higham | 15.0% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
William Wiegand | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 14.1% |
Cameron Frary | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 44.0% |
Christian Moffitt | 15.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
Charles Bresnahan | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 19.6% |
Miles Williams | 20.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.