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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.16vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+8.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+3.24vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+4.24vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67+6.27vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+3.91vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+1.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-0.33vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.04-1.40vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.25vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-3.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.63vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.97-6.53vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-3.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.33vs Predicted
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20Cornell University2.85-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.65Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.24Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.27George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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8.67Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.83Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.01University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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11.34Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 24.5% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 23.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.