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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.23+3.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.58+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.54+1.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.48+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-2.26vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60-1.26vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.40-0.67vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.27-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Roger Williams University1.2311.1%1st Place
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3.85Roger Williams University1.5816.9%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island1.5415.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University0.487.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Rhode Island1.6118.9%1st Place
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3.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5517.1%1st Place
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5.74Connecticut College0.606.5%1st Place
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7.33Bates College-0.401.7%1st Place
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6.22Connecticut College0.275.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| George Higham | 16.9% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 15.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| William Wiegand | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 13.6% |
| Miles Williams | 18.9% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 17.1% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 11.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 45.9% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.