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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.58+2.81vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+2.58vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.60+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.54+0.06vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+2.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61-3.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-2.13vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.27-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Roger Williams University1.5816.4%1st Place
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4.58Roger Williams University1.2312.7%1st Place
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5.69Connecticut College0.607.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Rhode Island1.5413.6%1st Place
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7.35Bates College-0.402.8%1st Place
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3.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5516.6%1st Place
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3.58University of Rhode Island1.6120.0%1st Place
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5.87Boston University0.485.2%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College0.275.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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George Higham | 16.4% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Chase Reynolds | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
Fritz Baldauf | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% |
Christian Moffitt | 13.6% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Cameron Frary | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 44.4% |
Matthew Elliott | 16.6% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Miles Williams | 20.0% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
William Wiegand | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 13.7% |
Charles Bresnahan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.