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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.48+4.81vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.58+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.54+1.06vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.45vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.60-0.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.23-2.29vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.40-0.73vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.27-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Boston University0.485.5%1st Place
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3.94Roger Williams University1.5816.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Rhode Island1.5415.8%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5516.8%1st Place
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3.55University of Rhode Island1.6118.6%1st Place
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5.71Connecticut College0.607.1%1st Place
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4.71Roger Williams University1.2311.5%1st Place
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7.27Bates College-0.402.8%1st Place
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6.19Connecticut College0.276.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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William Wiegand | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
George Higham | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
Christian Moffitt | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
Matthew Elliott | 16.8% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
Miles Williams | 18.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
Fritz Baldauf | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
Chase Reynolds | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
Cameron Frary | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 44.1% |
Charles Bresnahan | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.