Race 10A

boston-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Moffitt 13.3% 14.4% 15.2% 14.4% 12.7% 11.4% 10.3% 5.9% 2.2%
Chase Reynolds 12.9% 11.3% 12.6% 13.7% 12.9% 13.7% 11.6% 7.4% 3.9%
Miles Williams 20.8% 16.1% 15.2% 14.6% 13.2% 9.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.5%
Fritz Baldauf 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.9% 11.2% 12.8% 15.0% 18.2% 10.8%
Matthew Elliott 17.4% 15.6% 16.2% 13.5% 13.1% 11.1% 8.0% 3.9% 1.2%
George Higham 14.6% 17.9% 14.4% 12.7% 13.0% 12.2% 9.0% 4.6% 1.6%
William Wiegand 6.2% 6.3% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 12.3% 13.9% 18.2% 15.0%
Cameron Frary 2.5% 4.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 6.9% 10.4% 18.1% 44.5%
Charles Bresnahan 4.8% 6.5% 6.2% 8.7% 8.2% 10.3% 14.5% 20.5% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.