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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+8.01vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.72vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+3.52vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.21vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87+1.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-3.34vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.34+5.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65+2.90vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.44-1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.13-1.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-6.06vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-4.94vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.26vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-6.11vs Predicted
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20Cornell University1.97-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.52Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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5.66Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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15.86University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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14.9University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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11.72Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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13.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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13.53Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 27.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 20.8% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Alison Kent | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.