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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.54+2.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+2.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01+1.21vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.58-0.58vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.27+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61-2.84vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.40-0.48vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Rhode Island1.5416.4%1st Place
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4.14Roger Williams University1.2313.2%1st Place
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4.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.0112.8%1st Place
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3.42Roger Williams University1.5819.1%1st Place
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5.61Connecticut College0.276.3%1st Place
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3.16University of Rhode Island1.6122.9%1st Place
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6.52Bates College-0.402.7%1st Place
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5.26Boston University0.486.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Chase Reynolds | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Jemma Schroder | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| George Higham | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 23.4% |
| Miles Williams | 22.9% | 20.9% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 19.2% | 46.2% |
| William Wiegand | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.