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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+2.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+2.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.54-0.23vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.27+0.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.58-2.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.48-1.86vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.40-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Rhode Island1.6124.8%1st Place
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4.09Roger Williams University1.2313.9%1st Place
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4.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.0111.6%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island1.5415.6%1st Place
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5.6Connecticut College0.275.5%1st Place
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3.48Roger Williams University1.5818.2%1st Place
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5.14Boston University0.487.4%1st Place
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6.52Bates College-0.403.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 24.8% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| George Higham | 18.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| William Wiegand | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 15.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.