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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.45vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+9.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+6.66vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.87vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.00vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.44+5.68vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.32vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97+5.38vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+1.07vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+1.49vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13+0.30vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-4.49vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.29vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.65-1.17vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.12-4.15vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-8.83vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.26vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.22George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.68Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.38Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.07Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.82Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.49University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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14.83University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 21.7% |
| Kate Klement | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% |
| Amina Brown | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.