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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.58+2.71vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.37+2.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.23+1.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.54-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61-2.52vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.40-0.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Roger Williams University1.5816.2%1st Place
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4.0Connecticut College1.3714.1%1st Place
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4.26Roger Williams University1.2313.1%1st Place
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4.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.0111.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island1.5416.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Rhode Island1.6119.6%1st Place
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6.69Bates College-0.403.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University0.486.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 16.2% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| William Bedford | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Chase Reynolds | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 5.3% |
| Jemma Schroder | 11.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 7.7% |
| Christian Moffitt | 16.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Miles Williams | 19.6% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 54.6% |
| William Wiegand | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 22.8% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.