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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.92vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+7.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+4.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.70vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+3.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+5.00vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-1.10vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.51+1.18vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-1.88vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.44-0.20vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97+0.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.60vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-2.63vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.65-2.28vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.13-4.96vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.12-6.12vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.87-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.52Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.18George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.8Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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13.93Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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13.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 20.3% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.