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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.54+2.91vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+2.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.58+0.68vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.37+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01-1.47vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.40-0.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Rhode Island1.5415.2%1st Place
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4.32Roger Williams University1.2312.2%1st Place
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3.68Roger Williams University1.5816.9%1st Place
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4.01Connecticut College1.3714.4%1st Place
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3.42University of Rhode Island1.6120.4%1st Place
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4.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.0111.5%1st Place
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6.67Bates College-0.403.4%1st Place
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5.45Boston University0.486.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Chase Reynolds | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| George Higham | 16.9% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| William Bedford | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.4% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Jemma Schroder | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 8.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 54.4% |
| William Wiegand | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.