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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+5.35vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.18+3.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+3.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.80+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+4.01vs Predicted
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61.06-0.17vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42+0.49vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.45-0.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-3.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87-4.55vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.72-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.56vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-2.55vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Brown University1.019.1%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College1.1812.7%1st Place
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6.62Tufts University0.808.8%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University0.807.8%1st Place
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9.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.024.0%1st Place
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5.831.069.1%1st Place
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7.49Fairfield University0.426.4%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University0.455.2%1st Place
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5.32Northeastern University1.2211.6%1st Place
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5.45University of Vermont0.8712.4%1st Place
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7.0Bates College0.727.3%1st Place
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10.44University of New Hampshire-0.382.5%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.8%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University-0.791.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Grant Schmidt | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Blake Vogel | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| William Delong | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Max Teo | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Sean Lund | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 22.9% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.