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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.23+3.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.58+1.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.54-1.04vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.37-1.93vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.40-0.36vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Roger Williams University1.2313.1%1st Place
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3.72Roger Williams University1.5817.2%1st Place
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4.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.0111.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Rhode Island1.6119.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island1.5415.2%1st Place
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4.07Connecticut College1.3714.4%1st Place
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6.64Bates College-0.403.6%1st Place
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5.4Boston University0.485.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| George Higham | 17.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Jemma Schroder | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% |
| Miles Williams | 19.4% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| William Bedford | 14.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 52.9% |
| William Wiegand | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.