← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.92vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+3.75vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.35+4.37vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.44+7.39vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.23+2.80vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota2.13+6.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin1.34+9.16vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.38vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.96-0.15vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.97+3.38vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.87-1.53vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.20-3.90vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.87-3.25vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.65+0.69vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.51-4.02vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.08vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.73-7.13vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.23vs Predicted
-
19University of South Florida2.24-6.87vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Naval Academy2.88-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.75Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.39Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
-
7.8Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
12.84University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
16.16University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
-
13.38Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
9.47Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
8.1College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.75Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
-
14.69University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.98George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
12.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
-
9.87Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
13.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 31.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.