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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.34vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.97vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+8.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+8.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.44+6.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.89vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.73vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65+3.75vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.23-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34+3.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.13-3.27vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-7.70vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-4.53vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.73-8.98vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.87-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.13George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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11.33Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.75University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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7.97Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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16.08University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.47Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.52Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 31.7% |
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Alison Kent | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.