← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.74+4.73vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.20+5.89vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.48vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.96+5.00vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.23+2.70vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+7.15vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.87vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.97+5.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.65+5.70vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.96vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.24+1.28vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.44-0.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Minnesota2.13+0.07vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.87-4.61vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin1.34+0.67vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.35-8.70vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.73-7.22vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.51-6.90vs Predicted
-
19Brown University2.87-9.65vs Predicted
-
20Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.73Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.89College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.48U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
9.0University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.7Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
-
8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
13.2Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
14.7University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
12.28University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
11.55Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
-
13.07University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
-
9.39Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
15.67University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.3Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.78Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
-
11.1George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
9.35Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
13.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Alison Kent | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 30.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.