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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+5.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.56+5.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.80+4.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+2.51vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+2.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.94-0.64vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37-0.06vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.32-1.18vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48-1.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+0.40vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-6.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.71-2.68vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-6.28vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.9%1st Place
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7.78University of Pennsylvania1.566.2%1st Place
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4.23Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
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8.4Brown University1.805.3%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University1.816.5%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.9%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College1.949.6%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University1.376.0%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University1.326.6%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
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11.4Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.9011.3%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island0.712.4%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston1.456.2%1st Place
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10.9Northwestern University0.552.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Talia Toland | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Ella Withington | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 29.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 15.0% |
| Grace Squires | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.