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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+9.32vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.44+7.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+7.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.25vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.41vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.60vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-1.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-5.10vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.65+2.88vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13+0.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-0.67vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.34+0.67vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.96vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.87-7.74vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-8.49vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.51-8.06vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-11.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.37Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.88University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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13.33Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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15.67University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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10.04Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.26Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Claudia Taselaar | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Amina Brown | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| Alison Kent | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 29.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.