← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.51+2.30vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.70+3.67vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.76-1.22vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.63+1.24vs Predicted
-
5Vanderbilt University-0.03-0.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Tennessee-1.45+0.78vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-0.50-1.90vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-0.68-2.60vs Predicted
-
9Auburn University-1.97-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Clemson University0.510.1%1st Place
-
5.67North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
-
1.78College of Charleston1.760.5%1st Place
-
5.24Georgia Institute of Technology-0.630.1%1st Place
-
4.17Vanderbilt University-0.030.1%1st Place
-
6.78University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
-
5.1University of Tennessee-0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.4The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
7.56Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Rutledge | 14.7% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dustin Simons | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
| Irene Abascal | 52.4% | 27.5% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Salley | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Adam Kaplon | 9.4% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 24.3% | 24.4% |
| Matthew White | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Scott Adams | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 7.2% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.