Race 9A

yale-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Talia Toland 7.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 8.6% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 7.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.9%
Emma Cowles 20.2% 17.8% 13.4% 12.7% 10.0% 7.2% 6.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie Maus 5.2% 4.7% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.0% 5.7% 9.5% 8.2% 7.5% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1%
Blaire McCarthy 7.0% 6.0% 6.8% 6.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.6% 6.2% 8.2% 7.9% 10.0% 8.2% 6.5% 5.1% 2.4%
Amanda Majernik 5.5% 7.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.0% 4.5% 1.8%
Dana Haig 7.6% 9.0% 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8% 7.1% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 3.1% 2.0% 0.7%
Emma AuBuchon 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 8.1% 10.2% 7.0% 7.0% 7.2% 6.2% 4.3% 2.5%
Sarah Burn 12.2% 10.9% 10.8% 9.7% 8.9% 9.0% 8.3% 8.6% 5.5% 5.5% 4.2% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Payton Thompson 10.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.5% 9.0% 11.0% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 5.5% 4.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Lucy Paskoff 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.3% 8.5% 10.2% 16.6% 24.1%
Ella Withington 4.6% 4.2% 4.8% 5.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 6.6% 7.3% 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 10.0% 6.7% 4.5%
Megan Gimple 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 4.3% 3.5% 4.0% 5.9% 5.5% 7.3% 6.5% 7.6% 8.8% 10.2% 14.0% 11.5%
Marina Hutzler 3.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 3.0% 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.1% 7.0% 7.3% 9.6% 12.5% 13.4% 15.9%
Riley Kloc 5.3% 6.1% 6.6% 7.1% 8.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.2% 7.0% 6.5% 5.1% 1.6%
Rowan Schanley 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 5.8% 5.5% 7.6% 10.3% 16.9% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.