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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+5.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+4.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+4.41vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.38+3.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+2.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.00vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.81+2.70vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.86vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+0.30vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.54-2.85vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.92-1.60vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+0.32vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.57-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.94-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-0.32vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.71+0.06vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.33-9.12vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.7Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.3Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.32Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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13.51University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Tautz | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Magill | 10.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Katrina Williams | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Mary Cummins | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 23.6% | 22.0% |
| Hazel Mahony | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 49.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.