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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.18+4.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.01+4.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+3.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.80+1.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.45+1.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+3.37vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87-2.68vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.72-1.93vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.42-2.60vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.79+0.31vs Predicted
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121.06-6.21vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.38-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Bowdoin College1.1813.3%1st Place
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6.27Brown University1.018.8%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University0.805.9%1st Place
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5.48Northeastern University1.2212.8%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University0.807.4%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University0.455.2%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.512.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont0.8712.2%1st Place
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7.07Bates College0.727.1%1st Place
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7.4Fairfield University0.426.2%1st Place
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11.31Salve Regina University-0.791.7%1st Place
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5.791.0611.4%1st Place
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8.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.023.9%1st Place
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10.57University of New Hampshire-0.381.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Danielson | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Grant Schmidt | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Evan Tofolo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 21.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jett Lindelof | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 34.2% |
| Max Teo | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Delong | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Sean Lund | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.