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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.29+6.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.87+3.30vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.79+2.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+3.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+3.58vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-2.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.42vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96-0.74vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.77-0.81vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.45vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston0.76-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.77-7.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.02-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Georgetown University1.295.7%1st Place
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4.0Yale University2.7120.9%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University1.799.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University0.833.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.4%1st Place
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5.77Brown University2.0410.2%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.972.7%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University0.963.3%1st Place
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10.19Northwestern University0.773.6%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College2.077.3%1st Place
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10.17College of Charleston0.763.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Pennsylvania1.778.8%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island-0.021.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.9% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 7.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.