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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.97vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.29+4.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.79+2.55vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.96+4.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04-0.19vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.02+3.35vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-3.66vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.77-0.95vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.42vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston0.76-2.63vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.83-4.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5University of Pennsylvania1.778.0%1st Place
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3.97Yale University2.7119.7%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University1.296.2%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University1.797.9%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University0.963.8%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.0410.7%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.972.9%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.3%1st Place
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12.35University of Rhode Island-0.021.0%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College1.8710.1%1st Place
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10.05Northwestern University0.773.2%1st Place
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6.58Bowdoin College2.079.0%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston0.762.5%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University0.833.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.7% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 42.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.