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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+4.74vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island-0.02+10.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+5.82vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.96+5.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71-1.16vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston0.76+4.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.29+0.70vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87-1.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.44vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.79-3.34vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.64vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.42vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-3.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.83-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Brown University2.0410.6%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island-0.021.2%1st Place
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8.82Boston University1.143.2%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University0.963.5%1st Place
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3.84Yale University2.7122.4%1st Place
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10.16College of Charleston0.763.0%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University1.295.9%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College1.877.1%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.9%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University1.798.6%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.5%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College2.078.5%1st Place
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6.58University of Pennsylvania1.778.6%1st Place
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10.1Northwestern University0.772.6%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University0.833.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
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Brielle Willoughby | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Mackenzie Fraser | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 41.5% |
Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
Islay Van Dusen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
Mia Nicolosi | 22.4% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Fredrikke Foss | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% |
Morgan Sailer | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
Gray Hemans | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
Marbella Marlo | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Sofia Segalla | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Lillian Nemeth | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% |
Alexandra Talbot | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.