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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.91vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+4.41vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.29+1.83vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.67vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+0.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-3.27vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.83-0.53vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.71vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.96-2.79vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.77-2.80vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston0.76-3.81vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.02-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Yale University2.7121.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University1.798.5%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.7%1st Place
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6.4Bowdoin College2.077.8%1st Place
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7.07University of Pennsylvania1.727.4%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University1.294.9%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College1.879.6%1st Place
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8.92Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.0410.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University0.833.4%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University0.964.0%1st Place
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10.2Northwestern University0.773.0%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston0.762.6%1st Place
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12.34University of Rhode Island-0.021.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.