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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+2.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+5.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+3.06vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+2.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+3.01vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+0.51vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.06+7.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-2.51vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22+1.52vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-0.66vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-0.98vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.84vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-4.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.20-1.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.80-4.97vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Harvard University3.1819.9%1st Place
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7.29Brown University2.377.1%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.2910.3%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College2.349.4%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.7%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.587.6%1st Place
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14.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.060.8%1st Place
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5.71Roger Williams University2.6810.8%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University2.228.9%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University1.222.4%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.0%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College1.202.4%1st Place
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12.16Boston University1.071.4%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College1.483.8%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University0.200.8%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.802.3%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island1.423.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 19.9% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Finn Deprez | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 36.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Jack Schneider | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 23.3% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.