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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.13+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.14+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.40+2.50vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.62-0.40vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.49-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.08-3.56vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.81-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.03-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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2.79University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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5.5University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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3.6Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.8Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Sainsbury | 26.7% | 25.5% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Antonio Johnson | 26.5% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 26.5% | 12.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Nelson | 13.1% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 9.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 61.6% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 30.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.